← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: F. La Penna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Reggiana win | 21% | 4.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Reggiana −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
| 15' | ⚽ | Samuele Mulattieri · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 18' | ⚽ (og) | Tobías Reinhart · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 22' | 🟨 | Tobías Reinhart · Reggiana |
| 35' | ⚽ | Armand Laurienté · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 38' | ⚽ | Daniel Boloca · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 41' | 🟨 | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
| 44' | 🟨 | Andrea Ghion · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 57' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pieragnolo · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 82' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 86' | ⚽ (pen) | Simone Verdi · US Sassuolo Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Sassuolo Calcio | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days |
| 301.00 |
| 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1640.86 | 1405.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.52 | -2.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.80 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.66 |
| league points | 69.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 14.19 | 13.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.30 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.91 | — |
| state index | 0.80 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |