← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 29, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: V. Crezzini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 71% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.93 |
| Cittadella win | 10% | 10.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −1.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cremonese −1.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | ⚽ | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 46' | ⚽ | Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
| 61' | 🟨 | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 73' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Cremonese |
| 75' | ⚽ | Charles Pickel · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days |
| 148.00 |
| 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1558.38 | 1389.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.95 | -34.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.96 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 48.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 14.86 | 14.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 9.00 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |