← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
| Brescia win | 17% | 5.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Brescia −0.75 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 18' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Spezia |
| 20' | 🟨 | Filippo Bandinelli · Spezia |
| 35' | 🟨 | Matthias Verreth · Brescia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Spezia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Spezia |
| 73' | 🟥 | Francesco Cassata · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michele Besaggio · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 16 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days |
| 513.00 |
| 86.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 2.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1561.04 | 1421.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.81 | -22.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 55.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 13.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |