← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 16, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cosenza win | 24% | 4.38 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Catanzaro −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 46' | ⚽ | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 48' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 54' | ⚽ | Federico Bonini · Catanzaro |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Catanzaro |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mamadou Coulibaly · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 1 |
| 3 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days |
| 258.00 |
| 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1527.05 | 1395.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.07 | -6.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 43.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.25 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.02 | -0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |