← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Sampdoria win | 32% | 2.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Sampdoria +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Manuel Marras · Reggiana |
| 33' | ⚽ | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 48' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 54' | 🟨 | M'Baye Niang · Sampdoria |
| 60' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 61' | 🟨 | Alessio Cragno · Sampdoria |
| 67' | ⚽ | M'Baye Niang · Sampdoria |
| 69' | 🟨 | M'Baye Niang · Sampdoria |
| 69' | 🟥 | M'Baye Niang · Sampdoria |
| 71' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Sampdoria |
| 74' | ⚽ | Rémi Oudin · Sampdoria |
| 85' | 🟨 | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days |
| 15.00 |
| 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1405.74 | 1461.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.27 | 4.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| league points | 31.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 8.77 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |