← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Mantova win | 16% | 6.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mantova −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Pisa −1 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa |
| 12' | ⚽ | Matteo Tramoni · Pisa |
| 15' | 🟨 | David Wieser · Mantova |
| 23' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Mantova |
| 28' | 🟨 | Samuele Angori · Pisa |
| 49' | ⚽ | Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa |
| 65' | ⚽ | Matteo Tramoni · Pisa |
| 86' | 🟥 | Flavio Paoletti · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 27 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| 258.00 |
| 624.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 3.03 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1551.25 | 1427.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.14 | -30.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.64 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 55.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 60.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |