← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.85 |
| Modena win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 46% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
| 27' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Modena |
| 36' | 🟨 | Romano Floriani Mussolini · Juve Stabia |
| 64' | ⚽ | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Antonio Palumbo · Modena |
| 79' | 🟨 | Stipe Vulikić · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days |
| 623.00 |
| 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1442.96 | 1460.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.76 | -5.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 40.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |