← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.76 |
| Brescia win | 24% | 4.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Giorgi Kvernadze · Frosinone Calcio |
| 18' | 🟨 | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 42' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Brescia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ilario Monterisi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 61' | ⚽ | Farès Ghedjemis · Frosinone Calcio |
| 73' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
| 81' | 🟨 | Anthony Partipilo · Frosinone Calcio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Frank Tsadjout · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriele Calvani · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days |
| 42.00 |
| 73.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1458.81 | 1429.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.97 | -17.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| league points | 30.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |