← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Cittadella win | 20% | 5.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio +0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Samuele Mulattieri · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 46' | ⚽ | Domenico Berardi · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 51' | 🟨 | Josh Doig · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 82' | 🟨 | Simone Tronchin · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Moro · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simone Tronchin · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | US Sassuolo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days |
| 165.00 |
| 287.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1394.94 | 1635.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.27 | 15.78 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 34.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 25.91 |
| state index | -0.81 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |