← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 14, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Collu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 36% | 2.76 |
| Cremonese win | 34% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cremonese +0 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Palermo |
| 28' | 🟨 | Paulo Azzi · Cremonese |
| 53' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 55' | ⚽ | Claudio Gomes · Palermo |
| 70' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Valerio Verre · Palermo |
| 74' | ⚽ | Paulo Azzi · Cremonese |
| 78' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Palermo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Aljoša Vasić · Palermo |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days |
| 286.00 |
| 133.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1497.94 | 1548.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.07 | 9.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | 0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.30 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 6.14 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.55 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |