← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 9, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Perri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Cittadella win | 32% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Cittadella +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 58' | ⚽ | Antonio Barreca · Sudtirol |
| 59' | ⚽ (og) | Emmanuele Matino · Sudtirol |
| 61' | ⚽ | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 63' | 🟨 | Daniele Casiraghi · Sudtirol |
| 64' | 🟨 | Riccardo Palmieri · Cittadella |
| 71' | ⚽ | Andrea Giorgini · Sudtirol |
| 76' | ⚽ | Andrea Giorgini · Sudtirol |
| 84' | 🟨 | Niklas Pyyhtiä · Sudtirol |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jacopo Desogus · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days |
| 159.00 |
| 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1415.67 | 1438.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.07 | 17.30 |
| eye test v1 | -1.21 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 45.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.85 |
| league points | 34.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | -1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |