← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Mariani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Pisa win | 20% | 5.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Pisa −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ (og) | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Pisa |
| 43' | 🟨 | Henrik Wendel Meister · Pisa |
| 45' | ⚽ | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 47' | ⚽ | Henrik Wendel Meister · Pisa |
| 58' | ⚽ | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Spezia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Spezia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 86' | 🟨 | Oliver Abildgaard · Pisa |
| 88' | 🟨 | Arkadiusz Reca · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexander Lind · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 0 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| 494.00 |
| 251.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.54 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1553.16 | 1559.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.49 | -5.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.40 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| league points | 51.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.81 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |