← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 58% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
| Bari win | 17% | 6.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio −1 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Kevin Lasagna · Bari |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 56' | 🟨 | Armand Laurienté · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 76' | 🟨 | Coli Saco · Bari |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 82' | ⚽ | Cristian Volpato · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 86' | 🟨 | Cristian Volpato · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alessandro Tripaldelli · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Sassuolo Calcio | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days |
| 281.00 |
| 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1641.21 | 1482.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.63 | 1.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.49 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| league points | 65.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 2.32 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.91 | — |
| state index | 1.13 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |