← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Galipò
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Cesena win | 33% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cesena +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Alexander Jallow · Brescia |
| 24' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Cesena |
| 32' | 🟨 | Massimo Bertagnoli · Brescia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 50' | ⚽ (og) | Gabriele Calvani · Cesena |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cesena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Prestia · Cesena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days |
| 66.00 |
| 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1429.28 | 1480.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.70 | 26.61 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 30.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |