← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 39% | 2.62 |
| Palermo win | 31% | 3.41 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 22' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 40' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
| 61' | 🟥 | Ebenezer Akinsanmiro · Sampdoria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pierozzi · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 23 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days |
| 97.00 |
| 280.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1461.86 | 1497.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.12 | 16.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.78 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| league points | 30.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |