← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Modena win | 30% | 3.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Modena +0 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Alessandro Dellavalle · Modena |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dylan Bronn · Salernitana |
| 57' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Modena |
| 58' | 🟨 | Simone Santoro · Modena |
| 63' | ⚽ | Roberto Soriano · Salernitana |
| 76' | 🟨 | Giovanni Zaro · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days |
| 66.00 |
| 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1401.19 | 1470.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.13 | 17.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 26.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |