← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mantova win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Juve Stabia win | 32% | 3.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 56% | 1.72 |
| Mantova −0.25 | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Marco Bellich · Juve Stabia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Mantova |
| 51' | ⚽ | Nicola Mosti · Juve Stabia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Marco Festa · Mantova |
| 80' | ⚽ | Matteo Solini · Mantova |
| 82' | 🟨 | Davide Buglio · Juve Stabia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Niccolò Fortini · Juve Stabia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Antonio Fiori · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 27 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mantova | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Danilo Martelli |
| coach days |
| 616.00 |
| 616.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1428.36 | 1441.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.29 | -0.85 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| league points | 29.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.69 | -0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | -1.06 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |