← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Arena
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Catanzaro win | 18% | 6.08 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Catanzaro −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | ⚽ | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
| 42' | 🟨 | Tommaso Barbieri · Cremonese |
| 65' | ⚽ | Luca Ravanelli · Cremonese |
| 68' | 🟨 | Matias Antonini · Catanzaro |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel De Luca · Cremonese |
| 76' | ⚽ | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days |
| 127.00 |
| 250.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1531.97 | 1543.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.51 | 21.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 42.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 84.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.96 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |