← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Crezzini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 29% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 70' | ⚽ | Matteo Cichella · Frosinone Calcio |
| 73' | 🟨 | Michele Cerofolini · Frosinone Calcio |
| 87' | 🟨 | Julián Illanes · Carrarese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Cicconi · Carrarese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| coach days |
| 432.00 |
| 35.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1439.29 | 1447.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.50 | 0.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.70 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| league points | 32.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |