← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Mar 7, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Reggiana win | 32% | 3.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Reggiana +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 37% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Gabriele Artistico · Cosenza |
| 41' | 🟨 | Gabriele Artistico · Cosenza |
| 51' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cosenza |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 71' | 🟨 | Joaquín Sosa · Reggiana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Juan Manuel Cruz · Cosenza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alessandro Sersanti · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days |
| 6.00 |
| 6.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1386.44 | 1414.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.16 | -17.04 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| league points | 26.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.23 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.80 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |