← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 2, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: V. Crezzini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 38% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Sampdoria win | 29% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Bari −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Davide Veroli · Sampdoria |
| 18' | 🟨 | Raffaele Pucino · Bari |
| 45' | ⚽ | M'Baye Niang · Sampdoria |
| 48' | ⚽ | Giulio Maggiore · Bari |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 62' | 🟨 | Bartosz Bereszyński · Sampdoria |
| 80' | 🟨 | Rémi Oudin · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days |
| 274.00 |
| 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1485.02 | 1459.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.07 | 12.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 49.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| league points | 37.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |