← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Ferrieri Caputi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena win | 52% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Cosenza win | 19% | 5.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Modena −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Riyad Idrissi · Modena |
| 28' | ⚽ | Gabriele Artistico · Cosenza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Edoardo Duca · Modena |
| 64' | 🟨 | Gabriele Artistico · Cosenza |
| 85' | ⚽ | Pedro Mendes · Modena |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ettore Gliozzi · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Modena | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Braglia |
| coach days | 121.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1474.74 | 1382.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.44 | -39.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 34.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.20 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |