← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Mar 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Reggiana win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
| 38' | 🟨 | Tobías Reinhart · Reggiana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 45' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 75' | ⚽ | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 79' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 244.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1548.35 | 1409.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.74 | -11.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 42.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.55 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.24 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |