← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 53% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cittadella win | 17% | 6.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Juve Stabia −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Orji Okwonkwo · Cittadella |
| 37' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Riccardo Palmieri · Cittadella |
| 49' | 🟨 | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 73' | 🟨 | Andrea Adorante · Juve Stabia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Alessio Rizza · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days |
| 609.00 |
| 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1454.74 | 1402.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.30 | -5.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -1.34 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 39.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.00 | -1.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |