← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Mar 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Salernitana win | 28% | 3.49 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Cesena −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Joseph Ceesay · Cesena |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cesena |
| 73' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Cesena |
| 82' | 🟨 | Andrea Ciofi · Cesena |
| 84' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Prestia · Cesena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luka Lochoshvili · Salernitana |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 243.00 | 59.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1470.68 | 1411.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.56 | 1.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.36 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| league points | 37.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |