← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 41% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cosenza win | 28% | 3.93 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Cosenza +0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.71 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Niccolò Pierozzi · Palermo |
| 44' | 🟨 | Niccolò Pierozzi · Palermo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Charlys · Cosenza |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 65' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Alessandro Caporale · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 22.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.03 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1399.08 | 1473.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.53 | -10.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.33 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| league points | 25.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.29 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |