← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 51% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Cesena win | 20% | 5.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cesena −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Giacomo Calò · Cesena |
| 40' | ⚽ | Paulo Azzi · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Cremonese |
| 46' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 59' | 🟨 | Tommaso Barbieri · Cremonese |
| 77' | 🟨 | Federico Ceccherini · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Ciofi · Cesena |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simone Bastoni · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 113.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.73 | 1.56 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1547.04 | 1456.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.02 | 13.65 |
| eye test v1 | 0.99 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 41.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.00 | -0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |