← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Carrarese win | 23% | 4.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Gabriele Guarino · Carrarese |
| 17' | 🟨 | Simone Zanon · Carrarese |
| 26' | ⚽ | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 42' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Libutti · Reggiana |
| 49' | 🟨 | Elvis Kabashi · Reggiana |
| 57' | ⚽ | Emanuele Zuelli · Carrarese |
| 75' | 🟨 | Manuel Cicconi · Carrarese |
| 82' | ⚽ | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
| 85' | 🟨 | Niccolò Belloni · Carrarese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 236.00 | 418.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.91 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1410.62 | 1437.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.10 | -41.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| league points | 29.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.67 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |