← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Scatena
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mantova win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Bari win | 31% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Mantova −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Nicolò Radaelli · Mantova |
| 49' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Brignani · Mantova |
| 55' | 🟨 | Nosa Edward Obaretin · Bari |
| 70' | ⚽ | Giulio Maggiore · Bari |
| 75' | 🟨 | Valerio Mantovani · Bari |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Trimboli · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mantova | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Danilo Martelli |
| coach days | 602.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1447.54 | 1474.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.08 | -8.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| league points | 29.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.45 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.95 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |