← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 16, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Maresca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 37% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Cesena win | 31% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pisa +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
| 39' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 41' | 🟨 | Henrik Wendel Meister · Pisa |
| 49' | 🟥 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cesena |
| 53' | 🟨 | Emanuele Adamo · Cesena |
| 57' | 🟨 | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
| 71' | 🟨 | Leonardo Mendicino · Cesena |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jonathan Klinsmann · Cesena |
| 79' | ⚽ | Antonino La Gumina · Cesena |
| 85' | 🟨 | Flavio Russo · Cesena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samuele Angori · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 3 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 230.00 | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1455.37 | 1558.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.88 | 4.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.82 |
| league points | 33.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 2.04 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |