← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Galipò
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 57% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.52 |
| Mantova win | 16% | 7.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.75 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Mantova −0.75 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Valerio Verre · Palermo |
| 46' | ⚽ | Davis Mensah · Mantova |
| 57' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Brignani · Mantova |
| 60' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Palermo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Mantova |
| 67' | 🟨 | Sebastien De Maio · Mantova |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Joel Pohjanpalo · Palermo |
| 69' | 🟥 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Palermo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Simone Trimboli · Mantova |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristiano Bani · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 260.00 | 596.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1476.21 | 1444.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.81 | -16.83 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| league points | 31.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 63.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.73 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 1.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |