← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Reggiana win | 30% | 3.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.46 |
| Over | 34% | 2.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Libutti · Reggiana |
| 42' | ⚽ | Alessandro Sersanti · Reggiana |
| 43' | 🟨 | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ben Lhassine Kone · Frosinone Calcio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Tobías Reinhart · Reggiana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Farès Ghedjemis · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ilias Koutsoupias · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 15.00 | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1440.73 | 1408.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -47.69 | -22.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.05 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |