← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Arena
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 39% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Cesena win | 28% | 3.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Andrea Ciofi · Cesena |
| 22' | 🟨 | Emanuele Adamo · Cesena |
| 47' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lucchesi · Reggiana |
| 51' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cesena |
| 57' | ⚽ | Dario Šarić · Cesena |
| 62' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti · Reggiana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 223.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 0.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1419.00 | 1444.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.47 | -12.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| league points | 28.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |