← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 8, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 35% | 2.85 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Modena win | 32% | 3.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Modena +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | M'Baye Niang · Sampdoria |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alessandro Dellavalle · Modena |
| 36' | 🟨 | Gerard Yepes · Sampdoria |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Sampdoria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Sibilli · Sampdoria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Grégoire Defrel · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Battistella · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 69.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1456.93 | 1465.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.82 | 1.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
| league points | 25.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |