← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Feb 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Crezzini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 36% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Reggiana win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Reggiana +0 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Niklas Pyyhtiä · Sudtirol |
| 26' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti · Reggiana |
| 50' | ⚽ | Nicola Pietrangeli · Sudtirol |
| 77' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Matteo Maggio · Reggiana |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jacopo Martini · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 63.00 | 216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1421.68 | 1431.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.62 | 30.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| league points | 22.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 63.20 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 36.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.95 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.76 | -1.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |