← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 3.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 26' | 🟨 | Ronaldo Vieira · Sampdoria |
| 31' | 🟨 | Ronaldo Vieira · Sampdoria |
| 31' | 🟥 | Ronaldo Vieira · Sampdoria |
| 39' | 🟨 | Manuel Ricciardi · Cosenza |
| 40' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Luca Garritano · Cosenza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gerard Yepes · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 62.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1449.73 | 1409.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.66 | -24.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.40 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.36 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.92 | -1.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |