← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Feb 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Galipò
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cesena win | 29% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Federico Bonini · Catanzaro |
| 10' | ⚽ (og) | Simone Pieraccini · Catanzaro |
| 30' | ⚽ (og) | Stefano Scognamillo · Cesena |
| 38' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 40' | 🟨 | Antonino La Gumina · Cesena |
| 54' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 62' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cesena |
| 66' | ⚽ | Tommaso Cassandro · Catanzaro |
| 70' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cesena |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mirko Pigliacelli · Catanzaro |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 215.00 | 215.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1521.39 | 1454.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.36 | -13.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| league points | 32.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.27 | -0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.94 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |