← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 49% | 2.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.40 |
| Salernitana win | 22% | 4.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Pisa −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Paolo Ghiglione · Salernitana |
| 14' | 🟥 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 22' | 🟨 | Luka Lochoshvili · Salernitana |
| 47' | 🟨 | Stefano Girelli · Salernitana |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gian Marco Ferrari · Salernitana |
| 56' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Pisa |
| 59' | 🟨 | Adrian Rus · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 209.00 | 25.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1560.49 | 1409.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.24 | -14.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.71 |
| league points | 45.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |