← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 35% | 2.87 |
| Mantova win | 34% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Mantova +0 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Venuti · Sampdoria |
| 22' | ⚽ | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 24' | ⚽ | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Sampdoria |
| 47' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Mantova |
| 50' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Mantova |
| 51' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Sampdoria |
| 53' | ⚽ | Simone Trimboli · Mantova |
| 66' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 26 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mantova | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Danilo Martelli |
| coach days | 574.00 | 55.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1473.07 | 1447.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.18 | -18.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 41.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| league points | 27.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |