← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Carrarese win | 23% | 4.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Juve Stabia −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Kevin Piscopo · Juve Stabia |
| 19' | 🟨 | Romano Floriani Mussolini · Juve Stabia |
| 27' | ⚽ | Andrea Adorante · Juve Stabia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Yuri Rocchetti · Juve Stabia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Marco Bellich · Juve Stabia |
| 81' | 🟨 | Christian Pierobon · Juve Stabia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luigi Cherubini · Carrarese |
| 87' | 🟨 | Leonardo Cerri · Carrarese |
| 89' | ⚽ | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.82 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 574.00 | 390.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.52 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1433.44 | 1459.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.16 | -4.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.77 |
| league points | 30.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.30 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |