← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Bari win | 25% | 4.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bari −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Emanuele Adamo · Cesena |
| 23' | ⚽ | Andrea Favilli · Bari |
| 36' | 🟥 | Giacomo Calò · Cesena |
| 52' | 🟨 | Costantino Favasuli · Bari |
| 57' | 🟨 | Matteo Francesconi · Cesena |
| 61' | 🟨 | Andrea Favilli · Bari |
| 79' | 🟨 | Leonardo Mendicino · Cesena |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Antonino La Gumina · Cesena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Raffaele Pucino · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 208.00 | 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1455.12 | 1479.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.65 | -8.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| league points | 29.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |