← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Reggiana win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.59 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Tobías Reinhart · Reggiana |
| 39' | 🟨 | Alberto Cerri · Salernitana |
| 51' | 🟥 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti · Reggiana |
| 53' | 🟨 | Franco Tongya · Salernitana |
| 60' | 🟨 | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 62' | ⚽ | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Justin Kumi · Reggiana |
| 76' | ⚽ | Alberto Cerri · Salernitana |
| 80' | 🟨 | Francesco Bardi · Reggiana |
| 83' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Salernitana |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 17.00 | 201.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1400.77 | 1430.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.41 | 4.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| league points | 18.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -1.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |