← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Galipò
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.89 |
| Cosenza win | 17% | 6.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.75 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Cosenza −0.75 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 23' | ⚽ | Charles Pickel · Cremonese |
| 25' | ⚽ | Manuel Ricciardi · Cosenza |
| 29' | 🟨 | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
| 31' | 🟨 | Manuel Ricciardi · Cosenza |
| 43' | 🟨 | Charlys · Cosenza |
| 62' | 🟨 | Manuel Ricciardi · Cosenza |
| 62' | 🟥 | Manuel Ricciardi · Cosenza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cosenza |
| 85' | ⚽ | Franco Vázquez · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 29 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 14 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.35 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 78.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1548.06 | 1429.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.37 | -19.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 33.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.60 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.58 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.86 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | -1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |