← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Jan 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Mantova win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Mantova −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 20' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 34' | ⚽ | Francesco Ruocco · Mantova |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Leonardo Mancuso · Mantova |
| 59' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 70' | 🟨 | Stefano Cella · Mantova |
| 86' | 🟨 | Salvatore Burrai · Mantova |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Trimboli · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days |
| 109.00 |
| 567.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1418.08 | 1462.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.83 | -2.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | -0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 25.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |