← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Jan 17, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Collu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cesena win | 29% | 3.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Alessandro Pio Riccio · Sampdoria |
| 11' | 🟨 | Gerard Yepes · Sampdoria |
| 25' | 🟨 | Elayis Tavsan · Cesena |
| 31' | ⚽ | Mirko Antonucci · Cesena |
| 57' | 🟨 | Ebenezer Akinsanmiro · Sampdoria |
| 62' | ⚽ | Daniele Donnarumma · Cesena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Antonino La Gumina · Cesena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jonathan Klinsmann · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 47.00 | 200.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1459.48 | 1442.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.97 | -26.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.70 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.72 |
| league points | 21.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 5.04 | 5.14 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |