← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Catanzaro win | 28% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Federico Bonini · Catanzaro |
| 8' | ⚽ | Niklas Pyyhtiä · Sudtirol |
| 9' | 🟨 | Simone Pontisso · Catanzaro |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hamza El Kaouakibi · Sudtirol |
| 45' | 🟨 | Filippo Pittarello · Catanzaro |
| 50' | 🟨 | Enrico Brignola · Catanzaro |
| 86' | 🟨 | Valerio Crespi · Sudtirol |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mamadou Coulibaly · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 42.00 | 195.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.25 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1401.38 | 1513.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.20 | 12.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 18.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.48 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.74 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |