← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Jan 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Mantova win | 23% | 4.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Mantova −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.89 |
| Over | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Gabriele Artistico · Cosenza |
| 23' | ⚽ | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 36' | ⚽ | Tommaso Maggioni · Mantova |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Cosenza |
| 61' | 🟨 | Cristiano Bani · Mantova |
| 63' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Mantova |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gabriele Artistico · Cosenza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christos Kourfalidis · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 225.00 | 561.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1430.43 | 1461.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.05 | -13.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 48.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.79 |
| league points | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |