← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Sampdoria win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Sampdoria +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Malthe Højholt · Pisa |
| 52' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 55' | 🟨 | Giovanni Bonfanti · Pisa |
| 70' | ⚽ | Matteo Tramoni · Pisa |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ronaldo Vieira · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 28.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1467.75 | 1544.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.24 | 24.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.00 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 2.96 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.05 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.78 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -1.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |