← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: S. Galipò
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 38% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cittadella win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.25 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Palermo +0.25 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Dimitris Nikolaou · Palermo |
| 27' | 🟨 | Federico Casolari · Cittadella |
| 32' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 44' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 53' | 🟨 | Francesco D'Alessio · Cittadella |
| 55' | ⚽ | Kristoffer Lund · Palermo |
| 87' | 🟨 | Thomas Henry · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edoardo Masciangelo · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessio Buttaro · Palermo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Edoardo Masciangelo · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 89.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1405.04 | 1482.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.77 | -2.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.74 |
| league points | 21.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 2.97 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 19.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -1.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |