← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Salernitana win | 27% | 3.66 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Catanzaro |
| 21' | 🟨 | Fabio Ruggeri · Salernitana |
| 52' | 🟨 | Petar Stojanović · Salernitana |
| 57' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 82' | 🟨 | Paweł Jaroszyński · Salernitana |
| 86' | 🟨 | Filippo Pittarello · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Szymon Włodarczyk · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 181.00 | 58.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1507.63 | 1412.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.69 | -4.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 24.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.09 | 3.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 0.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.31 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |